For days the commentators have been asking the question, why now?  Why did we blow up the pagers at that particular moment?  Why did we waste what should have been an opening salvo to an operation that would have wiped out Hizballah?  Especially since we’re being blamed for starting a fight with Lebanon for no reason. 

Well for the second part of the question, you know the answer.  You know there have been enough rockets from the north every day since October 7 to cause a massive evacuation of over 150 000 people.  Over half have returned to their homes while under constant fire.  

But why now?  Because there was a clear and immediate alert of a repeat performance of October 7 on the north.  That information was whispered in Israel since the first moment after the pager explosions – that the plan to rape, slaughter, and mutilate the citizens of the north was about to be implemented. 

And when you think about it, why not?  Many people in the world don’t even believe it happened on Oct 7?  Many people don’t believe there are over a starving hundred hostages in Gaza that need to be released.  They think we made it up.  So why not torture us again? It seems to work…

And when we try to prevent it, we are the agressor.

So why should Nasrallah stop?  

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Here’s another aspect of the situation:  We’ve been showered with gifts this year for the new year.  And every time, we look at the package and wonder if we should open it.  Will it explode?